About Me

My photo
An Investor and counsellor in Financial Market

Friday, February 01, 2019

Americans Are Not Ready For A Recession

Money
The brutal reality is that most Americans are not prepared for the next economic downturn or recession. The government shutdown is highlighting just how much Americans rely on others as opposed to themselves, and how little they have saved for an emergency.
According to the newest op-ed article by Market Watch, the government shutdown is perfectly proving that Americans are not prepared for a financial disaster of any kind, let alone an economic recession. Many have long assumed that the government (which as we all know is almost $22 trillion in debt) will be using their money (stolen funds aka, taxation) to bail out those who get themselves into trouble. But the shutdown is proving just how little the government actually does and just how financially illiterate many Americans have allowed themselves to become.
Almost 60 percent of Americans have less than $1000 in savings for a rainy day fund or an immediate emergency. It’s been ten years since the Great Recession left many Americans jobless with no money, and it appears most have learned nothing. The government shutdown serves as a painful warning and preview for what will happen once unemployment rises from 50-year lows.  Americans are far too dependent on others, including the government, for their survival.
Within just a few weeks into the government shutdown, people are struggling to cope. We hear stories about people turning to food banks to feed their families. We hear stories about people who are in dire straits because they can’t get loans. We hear stories about people who can’t pay their mortgages. That’s not even one month into the shutdown. –Market Watch
Most Americans live paycheck to paycheck, including those who work for the government.  Many won’t live below their means in order to save and it certainly seems that most citizens have picked up the government’s spending habits. They have also stopped saving for themselves. According to a recent GoBankingRates survey, only 21 percent of Americans have more than $10,000 in savings, with nearly 60 percent having less than $1,000 in savings. Almost 32 percent of Americans have nothing saved up at all.
And something most don’t want to hear is that every economic cycle will end and hit a low again despite the rosy attestations of those who wish to keep confidence high. There is nothing in history that suggests that extremely low unemployment can be maintained for an extended period of time. Indeed, it is precisely at the end of an economic cycle that low unemployment rates tend to reverse rather suddenly.
(Click to enlarge)
There is one way to prepare for a recession and it’s to end dependence on debt and save some money for an emergency. Without the shackles of credit card debt, student loan debt, and car payments, Americans could not only save more, but their money would go much further as no one has already claimed it in the form of debt repayment.
Brandon Smith, Founder of Alt-Market.com, had an excellent follow-up comment...
The reason why issues like the government shutdown are having such an immediate effect on Americans is partly due to the illusion of "high employment" in the U.S.  While the unemployment rate APPEARS to be extraordinarily low today, the reality is that it is a rigged number that does not account for over 95 million people who are without work but not counted by the BLS. 
(Click to enlarge)
The statistic also does not account for underemployment and low wages.  What this means is, many people who have an income are likely helping to pay for family and friends without an income, and, low wages that don't keep up with inflation are translating to ever increasing personal debts.  With the government being one of the largest employers in the U.S, removing this revenue source even for a month is starting to cause panic. 
Consider for a moment, how many people are dependent on a government employee for their day to day survival?  Far too many...

No comments:

Post a Comment

Note: Only a member of this blog may post a comment.